Obama has narrow edge with 2 weeks to go
24 October 2012, 09:58
Washington - President Barack Obama pulled slightly ahead of
Republican Mitt Romney in a Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll on
Tuesday, but the race remained essentially tied with two weeks to go
until the 6 November election.
Obama led Romney among likely
voters by a statistically insignificant margin of 1 percentage point,
47% to 46%. The four-day online tracking poll includes some responses
taken after the two candidates' final televised debate, but the full
impact will not register for several days.
Obama maintains a
larger advantage in the state-by-state battle that will determine the
outcome of the election. Ipsos projects that Obama holds an edge in the
most hotly contested states, including Florida, Virginia and Ohio, and
is likely to win by a relatively comfortable margin of 322 electoral
votes to 206 electoral votes.
The poll has reflected a tight race
since shortly after the two candidates met for their first debate on 3
October. But a substantial portion of voters remain up for grabs.
Roughly 20% of those surveyed say they could switch their votes or have
not yet made up their minds.
Among the larger pool of registered voters, Obama leads Romney 46% to 42%.
The accuracy of Reuters/Ipsos online polls are measured using a
credibility interval. The survey of 1 030 likely voters has a
credibility interval of 3.5 percentage points.