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Alliances: The reason behind them and dilemma within

16 November 2012, 10:09 Paul Orodi

The political tides are blowing again across the country and every camp is realigning itself to be able to not only overcome the storm but also least survive the wave.

The fear of being washed away from the political scene is gripping every leader’s knees and currently the possibility of not surviving the tide seems to be looming on some of them, especially the presidential aspirants.

It is only normal for them to fear, after all nobody wants their time to pass or be whisked away from the stage.

During the last two weeks we have seen a number of presidential aspirants try to form alliances that can help propel them to the house on the hill.

These alleged alliances are simply forts of refuge since the growing storm is excessively powerful and it is destined to wash the political scene clean come March 4th 2013.

The Hon. Prime Minister has been on the Vice President’s case asking him to form an alliance that will enable them walk confidently into state house next year, while the Hon. Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta is alleged to have already drafted an agreement of some sort with Hon. William Ruto that will enable them form the next government.

All these will obviously come at a cost.

There is the possibility of some perceived beneficiaries of these agreements to loose out heavily.

According to the Machiavellian style of politics which actually operates across the globe, when you ascend to power you ought to burn all linkages to your helpers.

That is what has been done previously and will continue to be done for ages since no one is ever ready to surrender power when he or she is well aware that they still have a second term or another term for that matter.

Looking at the history of the current Vice President, he has a tendency of being undecided on very critical matters.

Maybe it is the gift of being a mediator or negotiator of some sort.

But even when brokering peace or a workable deal between two rivals you ought to have a stand from where your demands can be viewed.

Hon. Kalonzo Musyoka has sat on the fence ever since the referendum time in 2010.

Not because he has no opinion per se but simply because he does not want to rub anyone’s shoulder the wrong way.

Well that is out rightly being a coward.

You need to state your position and stand in order to let people know what you believe and advocate for.

During the referendum, he could not outwardly speak his position.

This act led to him being branded a water melon, thanks to the red and green labels given to the no and yes camps respectively.

With the current wave of change looming over the political theater, such politicians need to position themselves wisely lest they be washed away in disgrace.

The VP’s move at the moment has proved that he is again without solid ground.

He has been championing for the G7 alliance and he has been heard on record time and again denouncing the rumors that the G7 alliance is falling apart and that he has been sidelined.

Well, a few days ago he came out publicly and defected from the alliance through his party secretary general .

Whether he was even considered as a member is only known to him since it was very clear from the start that chemistry between him and the chief of parties at the alliance was not smooth.

Currently, his party, the Wiper Democratic Party is being seen to warm up to the Orange Democratic Party. This was not expected given the VP’s hard line concerning an alliance with the PM. He on many occasions shot down the possibility of aligning himself with the premier and an alliance between him and Odinga was thus out of the picture. But now since his sidelining in the G7 alliance, the VP is being seen to change his political course. Well all this is in line with his desire to stay relevant and alive on the political front. He must just keep in mind one thing; if he ever wants to ascend to power, he must keep a close eye on how he relates with the PM especially if he forms an alliance where he might serve as VP for another five years.

The other possible alliance between the DPM Uhuru Kenyatta and legislator for Eldoret North William Ruto is also one that carries with it many questions and mysteries.

The duo is already before The Hague based court, ICC answering charges for crimes against humanity.

Their presidential aspirations are still alive and kicking at the moment but this is about to change if the vetting process is to be as tight as predicted.

However, their trouble is not how they will form the government but rather how they will use their new found power, if elected, to stop expedite the hearings to Kenya or rather stop them completely.

Well, these two options are practically impossible to achieve and the only dilemma they will face if found guilty is whether the president can arrest his vice president and present him before the ICC before the president is arrested after vacating office.

All in all, the alliances being strategized are in order to prevent the current leaders from being washed away from the political stage while others are being formed to protect personal interests.

We as Kenyans are the ones holding the cards in our hands and come next year in March, we will have the opportunity to either vote for development-minded leaders or stick with our current crop that has no sense of what Kenyans’ need as a country.

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